This page is for all those experts and pundits that make predictions that turn out to be dead wrong. The people have zero credibility. Yet, it is too easy for the public to forget these mistakes. I seek here to make a record of these predictions so that when these individuals show up, there is an easy place to locate their totally incorrect predictions.

All these predictions fall into one of three possible categories:

  1. Really believed what they were saying was true
  2. Had no idea whether prediction was true or not, but was just meant to spin current opinion in hopes that they would turn out to be true
  3. Knew what they were saying was not true; had other motives and needed to say these things for political expediency

None of these are good. At best they are incompetent. At worst they were being deceitful.

William Kristol

Predicted that Iraq would greet US forces as liberators.

Predicted that there would not be a civil war in Iraq.

“WMD… of course they [Iraqis] have WMD… at least I hope they have them!”
Of course, we know that Iraq never had any WMD at all.

Karl Rove

prediction

Donald Rumsfeld

Claimed to know exactly where Saddam Hussein
had his weapons of mass destruction.

Robert Kagan

prediction

John McCain

On the ouster of Saddam and the Baathists:
“There’s no doubt in my mind that once these people are gone, that we will be welcomed as liberators – “
John McCain, March 24, 2003.

Of course, the US was never welcomed as liberators. These incorrect predictions fall into one of the following categories:

Paul Wolfowitz

prediction